2026-06-09T04:28:57Zhttps://riubu.ubu.es/oai/request

oai:riubu.ubu.es:10259/69842024-05-20T09:47:08Zcom_10259.4_104com_10259_2604col_10259_6848

Soria Lara, Julio Alberto babf93e0-f498-42b8-b64f-201c78aec037 600 Cascajo Jiménez, Rocío 6ac2225a-864d-4dbd-9aec-ed462bb9b4c2 600 Ariza Álvarez, Amor da3443fc-6757-4207-874a-88a3150eb41c 600 Arce Ruiz, Rosa María 5b28c95d-d1ff-4aa2-9911-091fd3c85238 600 Aguilera Benavente, Francisco e503a2a3-7813-444c-b0f6-2896a25c4a08 600 López García de Leániz, Cristina df09cb4a-0535-48b8-a25b-591d578dddf7 600 2022-09-21T11:06:40Z 2022-09-21T11:06:40Z 2021-07 978-84-18465-12-3 http://hdl.handle.net/10259/6984 10.36443/10259/6984 Trabajo presentado en: R-Evolucionando el transporte, XIV Congreso de Ingeniería del Transporte (CIT 2021), realizado en modalidad online los días 6, 7 y 8 de julio de 2021, organizado por la Universidad de Burgos Transport Scenario-Building is a well-established methodology to investigate strategic decisions for cities and its transport systems. It is often used to examine different futures where there is considerable uncertainty or where the business-as-usual is no longer appropriate. While the use of participatory approaches in Transport Scenario-Building has resulted in more democratic and implementable outcomes, the usefulness of those approaches is limited when the generation of disruptive transport futures and unusual policy solutions are considered. This paper addresses the abovementioned issue by presenting a participatory approach aimed to obtain disruptive visions on land use and transport by 2050. The context of the Metropolitan Area of Madrid (Spain) is taken as case study. The novel approach incorporates disruptive factors about city futures - “wild cards”- during the participatory visioning process, triggering an unconventional thinking from participants. First, a total of 139 people were engaged by using semi-structured interviews on the future of land use and transport in the case study. Each semi-structured interview explored the desired future for each participant as well as disruptive futures according to “wild cards” previously established. Second, responses were transcribed, coded, and analysed resulting in seven different future narratives. Third, a group of 20 experts in innovation and strategic thinking evaluated the disruptive level of each future narrative with respect to a business-as-usual scenario. The paper shows the methodological process, the future narratives obtained, and reflects on the capacity of this participatory approach to generate disruptive future visions for land use and transport. This research has been developed in the context of the research project "TRANS-URBAN: Simulación de escenarios colaborativos para integrar políticas de transporte urbano sostenible y usos del suelo". The project was funded by the Spanish Government under National R+D Plan (2018–2020) JCR. Grant Agreement no. CSO2017-86914-C2-2-P. application/pdf eng Universidad de Burgos. Servicio de Publicaciones e Imagen Institucional R-Evolucionando el transporte http://hdl.handle.net/10259/6490 https://doi.org/10.36443/9788418465123 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016/CSO2017-86914-C2-2-P/ES/SIMULACION DE ESCENARIOS COLABORATIVOS PARA INTEGRAR POLITICAS DE TRANSPORTE URBANO SOSTENIBLE Y USOS DEL SUELO Planificación del transporte Planning of transport Ingeniería civil Transportes Geografía Civil engineering Transportation Geography Thinking the unthinkable: The design of disruptive visions for land use and transport integration info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess 2411 2426 THUMBNAIL Soria_CIT2021_2411-2426.pdf.jpg Soria_CIT2021_2411-2426.pdf.jpg IM Thumbnail image/jpeg 4067 https://riubu.ubu.es/bitstream/10259/6984/3/Soria_CIT2021_2411-2426.pdf.jpg a1c74bcb633c23b9d07a49904f6141ec MD5 3 LICENSE license.txt license.txt text/plain; charset=utf-8 1362 https://riubu.ubu.es/bitstream/10259/6984/2/license.txt 5d013bfa6e473ff0db22cd82a4d71a70 MD5 2 ORIGINAL Soria_CIT2021_2411-2426.pdf Soria_CIT2021_2411-2426.pdf application/pdf 280985 https://riubu.ubu.es/bitstream/10259/6984/1/Soria_CIT2021_2411-2426.pdf 5a7ce7812a03242643e583b2413064b9 MD5 1 10259/6984 oai:riubu.ubu.es:10259/6984 2024-05-20 11:47:08.296 Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Burgos bubrep@ubu.es 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