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<mods:namePart>García Herrero, Susana</mods:namePart>
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<mods:namePart>Gutiérrez, José Manuel</mods:namePart>
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<mods:namePart>Herrera, Sixto</mods:namePart>
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<mods:namePart>Azimian, Amin</mods:namePart>
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<mods:namePart>Mariscal Saldaña, Miguel Ángel</mods:namePart>
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<mods:identifier type="issn">0925-7535</mods:identifier>
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<mods:identifier type="doi">10.1016/j.ssci.2019.104586</mods:identifier>
<mods:abstract>To reduce traffic accidents, an accurately estimated model is needed to capture the true relationships between the injury severity and risk factors. This study aims to propose a robust procedure to address the biases in police-reported accident data and subsequently to conduct sensitivity analyzes in order to estimate the variations in injury severity and distraction probability based on drivers’ behaviors/characteristics and psychophysical conditions. The results show that: (i) the excess speed will likely increase the probability of serious/fatal injury for drivers of all age groups by 10%; (ii) distraction and driver’ errors will likely increase the probability of serious/fatal injury in all drivers driving at a proper speed up to 1.5%; (iii) alcohol and drug consumption can significantly increase the probability of being distracted and making errors by 28.5% and 33.5% respectively; (iv) Alcohol consumption reduces the probability of driving at an appropriate speed in drivers under 25 by 40%. However, the results for drugs consumption are not as significant as the ones for alcohol consumption.</mods:abstract>
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<mods:topic>Traffic accident</mods:topic>
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<mods:subject>
<mods:topic>Drugs</mods:topic>
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<mods:topic>Alcohol</mods:topic>
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<mods:topic>Speed</mods:topic>
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<mods:topic>Distraction</mods:topic>
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<mods:topic>Human error</mods:topic>
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<mods:topic>Bayesian network</mods:topic>
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<mods:topic>Bias identification</mods:topic>
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<mods:title>Sensitivity analysis of driver's behavior and psychophysical conditions</mods:title>
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