2026-04-18T08:00:17Zhttps://riubu.ubu.es/oai/request

oai:riubu.ubu.es:10259/90372024-05-20T09:42:35Zcom_10259_9006com_10259_5086com_10259_2604com_10259_5501col_10259_9007col_10259_5502

García Herrero, Susana 206 600 0000-0002-8061-9537 Gutiérrez, José Manuel 25258ccf-3a5a-407e-9aac-a9858dd36549 600 Herrera, Sixto 6f7d9321-5487-40bc-b7c8-cdd297f78bee 600 Azimian, Amin 3926ea6f-2fa1-491f-a543-30fbf1884721 600 Mariscal Saldaña, Miguel Ángel 337 600 0000-0002-7897-9891 2024-04-25T09:33:44Z 2024-04-25T09:33:44Z 2020-05 0925-7535 http://hdl.handle.net/10259/9037 10.1016/j.ssci.2019.104586 To reduce traffic accidents, an accurately estimated model is needed to capture the true relationships between the injury severity and risk factors. This study aims to propose a robust procedure to address the biases in police-reported accident data and subsequently to conduct sensitivity analyzes in order to estimate the variations in injury severity and distraction probability based on drivers’ behaviors/characteristics and psychophysical conditions. The results show that: (i) the excess speed will likely increase the probability of serious/fatal injury for drivers of all age groups by 10%; (ii) distraction and driver’ errors will likely increase the probability of serious/fatal injury in all drivers driving at a proper speed up to 1.5%; (iii) alcohol and drug consumption can significantly increase the probability of being distracted and making errors by 28.5% and 33.5% respectively; (iv) Alcohol consumption reduces the probability of driving at an appropriate speed in drivers under 25 by 40%. However, the results for drugs consumption are not as significant as the ones for alcohol consumption. This study was supported by funds from the following projects: “Modelo cuantitativo de Red Bayesiana con capacidad predictiva de la gravedad del accidente en función de los comportamientos y actuaciones de las personas” [Qualitative Bayesian Network Model for Predicting Accident Severity Based on Personal Behaviors and Actions]. Ref. SPIP2015-01852 supported by funds from DGT (Directorate-General for Traffic). “Modelización mediante técnicas de machine learning de la influencia de las distracciones del conductor en la seguridad vial” [Modeling the influence of driver distractions on road safety using machine learning techniques]. Ref. BU300P18 supported by funds from FEDER (Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional, Junta de Castilla y León). eng Elsevier Safety Science. 2020, V. 125, 104586 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2019.104586 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Traffic accident Drugs Alcohol Speed Distraction Human error Bayesian network Bias identification Transportes Salud Transportation Health Sensitivity analysis of driver's behavior and psychophysical conditions info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion Safety Science 125 THUMBNAIL Garcia-ss_2020.pdf.jpg Garcia-ss_2020.pdf.jpg IM Thumbnail image/jpeg 4407 https://riubu.ubu.es/bitstream/10259/9037/4/Garcia-ss_2020.pdf.jpg 2f8c6a559bee0ea03cfa1011dec2d154 MD5 4 LICENSE license.txt license.txt text/plain; charset=utf-8 999 https://riubu.ubu.es/bitstream/10259/9037/3/license.txt b295bcbce42e2caabeb0c623d3860c06 MD5 3 CC-LICENSE license_rdf license_rdf application/rdf+xml; charset=utf-8 805 https://riubu.ubu.es/bitstream/10259/9037/2/license_rdf 4460e5956bc1d1639be9ae6146a50347 MD5 2 ORIGINAL Garcia-ss_2020.pdf Garcia-ss_2020.pdf application/pdf 969994 https://riubu.ubu.es/bitstream/10259/9037/1/Garcia-ss_2020.pdf a472b7ab65e4baad74ec8b8ad17ad476 MD5 1 10259/9037 oai:riubu.ubu.es:10259/9037 2024-05-20 11:42:35.905 Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Burgos bubrep@ubu.es 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