2026-04-27T14:41:08Zhttps://riubu.ubu.es/oai/request

oai:riubu.ubu.es:10259/39272024-05-13T10:38:17Zcom_10259_3830com_10259_5086com_10259_2604col_10259_3832

00925njm 22002777a 4500 dc Acebes, Fernando author Pereda, María author Poza, David J. author Pajares Gutiérrez, Javier author Galán Ordax, José Manuel author 2015-10 The aim of this paper is to describe a new integrated methodology for project control under uncertainty. This proposal is based on Earned Value Methodology and risk analysis and presents several refinements to previous methodologies. More specifically, the approach uses extensive Monte Carlo simulation to obtain information about the expected behavior of the project. This dataset is exploited in several ways using different statistical learning methodologies in a structured fashion. Initially, simulations are used to detect if project deviations are a consequence of the expected variability using Anomaly Detection algorithms. If the project follows this expected variability, probabilities of success in cost and time and expected cost and total duration of the project can be estimated using classification and regression approaches 0263-7863 http://hdl.handle.net/10259/3927 Project management Earned value management Project control Monte Carlo simulation Project risk management Statistical learning Anomaly Detection Stochastic earned value analysis using Monte Carlo simulation and statistical learning techniques