2026-06-17T23:22:47Zhttps://riubu.ubu.es/oai/requestoai:riubu.ubu.es:10259/69632024-05-20T07:46:41Zcom_10259.4_104com_10259_2604col_10259_6848
Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Burgos
author
Burrieza Galán, Javier
author
Rodríguez Vázquez, Rita
author
García Cantú Ros, Oliva
author
Aifadopoulou, Georgia
author
Salanova Grau, Josep-María
author
Konstantinidou, María
author
Frederix, Rodric
author
Pápics, Péter
2022-09-21T07:19:21Z
2022-09-21T07:19:21Z
2021-07
978-84-18465-12-3
http://hdl.handle.net/10259/6963
10.36443/10259/6963
The acceleration of technology evolution is changing urban mobility at a much faster pace
than we have seen in previous decades, leading to an increasingly uncertain future within
this field. It is very likely that current transport planning tools and techniques will have to
be adapted to the increasing number of innovative mobility forms in order to maintain their
usefulness in the urban policy cycle. In this paper, we present a series of explorative
scenarios for European urban mobility and the consequent challenges that they imply for
such tools and techniques. Two groups of scenarios have been developed for assessing two
different uncertain relations. First, a set of exogeneous scenarios has been defined for
studying how different urban mobility socioeconomic contexts could affect the evolution of
emerging mobility solutions. These scenarios are adaptations of the IPCC’s Shared
Socioeconomic Pathways. Second, a set of pathways that these mobility innovations may
follow has been shaped in order to determine to what extent each innovation will potentially
pose new requirements on transport data sources, models and decision support tools. The
methodology used for developing the scenarios started by a literature review covering the
most prominent urban mobility trends.
Then, policy-makers and modellers were engaged in the process through a series of
workshops and a Delphi poll. This served to gather inputs from a wide range of end-users
and practitioners. The paper covers the results from these methodologies, unveils the
resultant scenarios, and outlines the conclusions in terms of future plausible requirements
for transport planning tools and techniques.
eng
Vehículos
Formas de movilidad
Vehicles
Means of mobility
New urban mobility options: Alternative futures and their impact in transport planning techniques
info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject
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URL
https://riubu.ubu.es/bitstream/10259/6963/1/Burrieza_CIT2021_2049-2080.pdf
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application/pdf
Burrieza_CIT2021_2049-2080.pdf