<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><?xml-stylesheet type="text/xsl" href="static/style.xsl"?><OAI-PMH xmlns="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/OAI-PMH.xsd"><responseDate>2026-06-02T06:37:16Z</responseDate><request verb="GetRecord" identifier="oai:riubu.ubu.es:10259/7233" metadataPrefix="etdms">https://riubu.ubu.es/oai/request</request><GetRecord><record><header><identifier>oai:riubu.ubu.es:10259/7233</identifier><datestamp>2023-02-16T12:37:58Z</datestamp><setSpec>com_10259_3847</setSpec><setSpec>com_10259_5086</setSpec><setSpec>com_10259_2604</setSpec><setSpec>col_10259_3848</setSpec></header><metadata><thesis xmlns="http://www.ndltd.org/standards/metadata/etdms/1.0/" xmlns:doc="http://www.lyncode.com/xoai" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.ndltd.org/standards/metadata/etdms/1.0/ http://www.ndltd.org/standards/metadata/etdms/1.0/etdms.xsd">
<title>Artificial Neural Networks, Sequence-to-Sequence LSTMs, and Exogenous Variables as Analytical Tools for NO2 (Air Pollution) Forecasting: A Case Study in the Bay of Algeciras (Spain)</title>
<creator>González Enrique, Francisco Javier</creator>
<creator>Ruiz Aguilar, Juan Jesús</creator>
<creator>Moscoso López, José Antonio</creator>
<creator>Urda Muñoz, Daniel</creator>
<creator>Deka, Lipika</creator>
<creator>Turias Domínguez, Ignacio J.</creator>
<subject>Forecasting</subject>
<subject>Feature selection</subject>
<subject>Air pollution</subject>
<subject>Nitrogen dioxide</subject>
<subject>Artificial neural networks</subject>
<subject>LSTMs</subject>
<subject>Exogenous variables</subject>
<subject>Deep learning</subject>
<subject>Time series</subject>
<description>This study aims to produce accurate predictions of the NO2 concentrations at a specific&#xd;
station of a monitoring network located in the Bay of Algeciras (Spain). Artificial neural networks&#xd;
(ANNs) and sequence-to-sequence long short-term memory networks (LSTMs) were used to create&#xd;
the forecasting models. Additionally, a new prediction method was proposed combining LSTMs&#xd;
using a rolling window scheme with a cross-validation procedure for time series (LSTM-CVT). Two&#xd;
different strategies were followed regarding the input variables: using NO2&#xd;
from the station or&#xd;
employing NO2 and other pollutants data from any station of the network plus meteorological&#xd;
variables. The ANN and LSTM-CVT exogenous models used lagged datasets of different window&#xd;
sizes. Several feature ranking methods were used to select the top lagged variables and include them&#xd;
in the final exogenous datasets. Prediction horizons of t + 1, t + 4 and t + 8 were employed. The&#xd;
exogenous variables inclusion enhanced the model’s performance, especially for t + 4 (ρ ≈ 0.68 to&#xd;
ρ ≈ 0.74) and t + 8 (ρ ≈ 0.59 to ρ ≈ 0.66). The proposed LSTM-CVT method delivered promising&#xd;
results as the best performing models per prediction horizon employed this new methodology.&#xd;
Additionally, per each parameter combination, it obtained lower error values than ANNs in 85% of&#xd;
the cases.</description>
<date>2023-01-12</date>
<date>2023-01-12</date>
<date>2021-03</date>
<type>info:eu-repo/semantics/article</type>
<identifier>http://hdl.handle.net/10259/7233</identifier>
<identifier>10.3390/s21051770</identifier>
<identifier>1424-8220</identifier>
<language>eng</language>
<relation>Sensors. 2021, V. 21, n. 5, 1770</relation>
<relation>https://doi.org/10.3390/s21051770</relation>
<relation>info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/RTI2018-098160-B-I00/ES/DEEP LEARNING IN AIR POLLUTION FORECASTING</relation>
<rights>http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</rights>
<rights>info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess</rights>
<rights>Atribución 4.0 Internacional</rights>
<publisher>MDPI</publisher>
</thesis></metadata></record></GetRecord></OAI-PMH>