Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem: http://hdl.handle.net/10259/6963
Título
New urban mobility options: Alternative futures and their impact in transport planning techniques
Autor
Publicado en
R-Evolucionando el transporte
Editorial
Universidad de Burgos. Servicio de Publicaciones e Imagen Institucional
Fecha de publicación
2021-07
ISBN
978-84-18465-12-3
DOI
10.36443/10259/6963
Descripción
Trabajo presentado en: R-Evolucionando el transporte, XIV Congreso de Ingeniería del Transporte (CIT 2021), realizado en modalidad online los días 6, 7 y 8 de julio de 2021, organizado por la Universidad de Burgos
Resumen
The acceleration of technology evolution is changing urban mobility at a much faster pace
than we have seen in previous decades, leading to an increasingly uncertain future within
this field. It is very likely that current transport planning tools and techniques will have to
be adapted to the increasing number of innovative mobility forms in order to maintain their
usefulness in the urban policy cycle. In this paper, we present a series of explorative
scenarios for European urban mobility and the consequent challenges that they imply for
such tools and techniques. Two groups of scenarios have been developed for assessing two
different uncertain relations. First, a set of exogeneous scenarios has been defined for
studying how different urban mobility socioeconomic contexts could affect the evolution of
emerging mobility solutions. These scenarios are adaptations of the IPCC’s Shared
Socioeconomic Pathways. Second, a set of pathways that these mobility innovations may
follow has been shaped in order to determine to what extent each innovation will potentially
pose new requirements on transport data sources, models and decision support tools. The
methodology used for developing the scenarios started by a literature review covering the
most prominent urban mobility trends.
Then, policy-makers and modellers were engaged in the process through a series of
workshops and a Delphi poll. This served to gather inputs from a wide range of end-users
and practitioners. The paper covers the results from these methodologies, unveils the
resultant scenarios, and outlines the conclusions in terms of future plausible requirements
for transport planning tools and techniques.
Palabras clave
Vehículos
Vehicles
Formas de movilidad
Means of mobility
Materia
Ingeniería civil
Civil engineering
Transportes
Transportation
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